Tukuk-OS🧠 Thinking Clearly
Five micro-lessons · about 37 minutes in total
Statistics, biases and fact-checking — defending your attention online. Five lessons, about 37 minutes in total — read one at a time; each stands alone.
The five lessons
1. Correlation Is Not Cause
Ice cream and drownings, spurious charts, and what actually proves a cause.
2. The Mind That Only Wants to Be Right
You search for confirmations, not tests — and your feed knows it.
3. Statistics in Headlines
Risk doubled from tiny is still tiny, subgroups torture truth, and n hides in footnotes.
4. Tests, Positives and Base Rates
Why a “99% accurate” test can still leave your positive result ~99% wrong.
5. How to Check Anything Online
Read sideways, find the primary source, and let the date do the talking.
Try it live
Further reading
Three real books on this track, from the Open Library catalogue — follow the links for libraries, previews and borrow options.
The research
The most-cited Crossref-indexed papers matching the topic — a window into how professionals actually study it.
- Common method biases in behavioral research: A critical review of the literature and recommended remedies. — Podsakoff (2003), cited 72,153 times
- Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases — Tversky (1974), cited 24,917 times
- Accurate spin-dependent electron liquid correlation energies for local spin density calculations: a critical analysis — Vosko (1980), cited 19,857 times